Is 2025 the Year Superintelligence Becomes Reality? Sam Altman Predicts It Could Be

OpenAI CEO, Sam Altman has made a bold prediction: artificial general intelligence (AGI), often referred to as superintelligence, could be achieved by 2025. In a blog post titled Reflections, Altman expressed confidence in the advancements being made in AI technology and suggested that the first AI agents might soon integrate into the workforce.

“We are now confident we know how to build AGI as we have traditionally understood it. We believe that, in 2025, we may see the first AI agents ‘join the workforce’ and materially change the output of companies,” Altman wrote, emphasizing the transformative potential of these developments.

Altman highlighted that the gradual introduction of advanced AI tools has consistently resulted in positive and impactful results, underscoring OpenAI’s dedication to responsible innovation.

Alan Thompson, a specialist in artificial intelligence and former chairman of Mensa International, manages the Conservative Countdown to AGI website. He has updated the countdown to achieving AGI, now indicating it is 88% complete, following Altman’s recent remarks and the launch of Nvidia Cosmos for training humanoid robots.

The other part of Altman’s Reflections blog post delves into the peaks and valleys of a CEO’s journey in the realm of advanced technology. In particular, he remembers being “fired by surprise on a video call” while sitting in a hotel in Vegas and describes the last few years as “the most rewarding, fun, best, interesting, exhausting, stressful, and – particularly for the last two – unpleasant years of my life so far.” 

Sam Altman notes that since then, “AI development has taken many twists and turns and we expect more in the future. Some of the twists have been joyful; some have been hard. It’s been fun watching a steady stream of research miracles occur, and a lot of naysayers have become true believers.”

Altman said that the whole focus of OpenAI will move beyond ChatGPT and towards AGI, “We are beginning to turn our aim beyond that, to superintelligence in the true sense of the word. We love our current products, but we are here for the glorious future. With superintelligence, we can do anything else. Superintelligent tools could massively accelerate scientific discovery and innovation well beyond what we can do on our own, and in turn, massively increase abundance and prosperity.”

While the integration of AGI into the workforce raises concerns about the effect on employment and sectors, it also signals a significant step forward in AI development, with the potential to reshape the global economy and how people interact with technology.